The social risk forecast indicator of the road traffic accidents in the territory of Khabarovsk and the Khabarovskiy krai

The paper analyzes the road traffic safety in territory of Khabarovsk 2011-2020 according to following indicators: severity accidents, consequences, social risk, forecast indicator risk city by 2024. analysis is based on exponential smoothing method using statistical data 2011-2020. compared value established Road Safety Strategy Russian Federation for 2018 - 2024, as a target An assessment achieving mortality rate reduction Khabarovskiy krai also given. impact pandemic consequences and socio-economic situation reducing accidents are examined. objective costs increasing support population business being evaluated, values set national project 2020 subsequent years. For analysis, empirical methods used, such as: examining results previous activities; expert assessments; studying an object time: retrospective, forecasting. factors considered most susceptible reduce mortality.